Hold and look through the fuel shock
The Fed keeps its rate at 3.75–4.00% and only raises it again if inflation outside food and energy keeps climbing.
Reasons
- 1.
Higher interest rates don’t produce more oil or diesel, so they can’t fix a price spike caused by war.
Supports
Gasoline alone made up more than half of September’s price increase.
- Al Jazeera: US inflation rises before midterm elections, fuelling rate hike fears (aljazeera.com)
- Al Jazeera: US inflation rises before midterm elections, fuelling rate hike fears (aljazeera.com)
- 2.
The job market is already weakening, and another hike could tip it into recession.
- 3.
Real wages are already falling, so households are being squeezed without also paying more to borrow.
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